Evergreen, CO – October 12, 2009 Newly formed Tropical Storm Patricia will most likely strike or come dangerously close southern Baja on Tuesday. The Swinden Group, through their Severe Weather Advisories, is advising interests in Baja to be prepared for flooding rains and high winds. On Hainan Island, China, Tropical Storm Parma tracks westward towards northern Vietnam.
At 1100 am PDT…1800 UTC…the center of tropical storm Patricia was located 245 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California. Patricia is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Patricia will be very near the Baja California peninsula by Tuesday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center.
Threats & Damages from Tropical Storm Patricia
“For the most part, Patricia will bring heavy rains and high winds that may cause life-threatening flash flooding along the arroyos in the region and minor damage to poorly constructed buildings,” explains Matthew Swinden, President of the Swinden Group. “People living in and around the arroyos should move to higher ground.”
Watches & Warnings
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula from La Paz to Santa Fe. A tropical storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the Watch area, generally within 36 hours.
“We’re expecting a Tropical Storm Warning will be issued before tomorrow morning in anticipation of Patricia either striking southern Baja or coming very close,” says Swinden.
The Final Chapters on Tropical Storm Parma and former Super Typhoon Merlor
As of 1500 UTC, after traveling from the Western Pacific, pummeling Luzon, Philippines, and heading towards northern Vietnam. Tropical Storm Parma is entering its final chapter as it tracks over Hainan Island, China. On Wednesday, the storm should make its final landfall in northern Vietnam as a tropical depression bringing with it flooding rains to northern Vietnam and Laos.
For Northern California, remnant moisture and energy from former Super Typhoon Merlor will bring heavy rains and high winds to the region. The storm should move on shore tonight and Tuesday ushering in heavy rains of up to possible 8 inches and high winds to the region. Flash flooding, power outages, and travel delays will be the main threats.
Severe Weather Advisories is a subscription based service provided by the Swinden Group to corporations and business travelers so that they are prepared for severe weather that may negatively impact business and travel.
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